{"id":870,"date":"2012-02-23T13:58:51","date_gmt":"2012-02-23T12:58:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lornemitchell.com\/blog\/?p=870"},"modified":"2012-03-02T19:14:03","modified_gmt":"2012-03-02T18:14:03","slug":"thinking-fast-and-slow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=870","title":{"rendered":"Thinking, Fast and Slow"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I was browsing the bookshelves in a provincial airport lounge last month. \u00a0I really like browsing business books in these sorts of places (as opposed to ordering books from Amazon). \u00a0You find things you would not normally find and you can pick them up and read the gist of what the book is about in a very tactile way. \u00a0Something Kindle struggles with, I think.<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, I came across a what looked like interesting title <span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">&#8220;Thinking, Fast and Slow&#8221;<\/span>. \u00a0Being one always on the look-out for new Thursday Thoughts, I bought it and have started to read it&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>The book is written by Daniel Kahneman who was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2002 for his pioneering work, developed with Amos Tversky, on decision-making and uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, there is a quote on the front cover by Steven Pinker which says <em><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">&#8220;(Kahneman is) certainly the most important psychologist alive today&#8221;<\/span>.\u00a0<\/em>\u00a0\u00a0I thought the blend of economics and psychology would be interesting &#8211; and I have not been disappointed!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/Thinking-Fast-and-Slow.jpg\"><img data-attachment-id=\"886\" data-permalink=\"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?attachment_id=886\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/Thinking-Fast-and-Slow.jpg?fit=640%2C628\" data-orig-size=\"640,628\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Thinking Fast and Slow\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/Thinking-Fast-and-Slow.jpg?fit=300%2C294\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/Thinking-Fast-and-Slow.jpg?fit=525%2C515\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-886\" title=\"Thinking Fast and Slow\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/Thinking-Fast-and-Slow.jpg?resize=525%2C515\" alt=\"\" width=\"525\" height=\"515\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/Thinking-Fast-and-Slow.jpg?w=640 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/Thinking-Fast-and-Slow.jpg?resize=300%2C294 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 525px) 100vw, 525px\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>To begin with, Kahneman&#8217;s says that we all have two &#8220;systems&#8221; of thought. \u00a0He adopts terms originally proposed by the psychologists Keith Stanovich and Richard West referring to two systems in the mind: System 1 and System 2. \u00a0Thee labels of System 1 and System 2 are, apparently, widely used in psychology. \u00a0For those of you, like me, who are mere lay-folk in the art of psycho-babble, this was news!<\/p>\n<p>Here is an extract from the introduction which outlines the two systems:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span style=\"color: #00ff00;\">&#8220;When we think of ourselves, we identify with System 2, the conscious, reasoning self that has beliefs, makes choices and decides what to think about and what to do. \u00a0Although System 2 believes itself to be where the action is, the automatic System 1 is the hero of the book.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Kahneman describes System 1 as:\u00a0<span style=\"color: #00ff00;\">&#8220;effortlessly originating impressions and feelings that are the main sources of the explicit beliefs and deliberate choices of System 2&#8221;.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>In rough order of complexity, he describes some examples of the automatic activities that are attributed to System 1:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Detect that one object is more distant than another<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Orient to the source of a sudden sound<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Complete the phrase &#8220;bread and&#8230;..&#8221;<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Make a &#8220;disgust face&#8221; when shown a horrible picture<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Detect hostility in a voice<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Answer to 2 + 2 = ?<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Read words on large billboards<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Drive a car on an empty road<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Find a strong move in chess (if you are a chess master)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Understand simple sentences<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Recognise that a &#8220;meek and tidy soul with a passion for detail&#8221; resembles and occupational stereotype<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The highly diverse operations of System 2 have one feature in common: the require attention and are disrupted when attention is drawn way. \u00a0Here are some examples:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Brace for the starter-gun in a race<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Focus attention on the clowns in the circus<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Focus on the voice of a particular person in a crowded and noisy room<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Look for a woman with white hair<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Search memory to identify a surprising sound<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Maintain a faster walking speed than is natural for you<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Monitor the appropriateness of your behaviour in a social situation<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Count the occurrences of the letter\u00a0<em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/em>in a page of text<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Tell someone your phone number<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Park in a narrow space (for oct people except garage attendants)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Campare two washing machines for overall value<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Fill out a tax form<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">Check the validity of a complex logical argument<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The interesting thing that I have learnt so far is that we use System 1 and System 2 interchangeably throughout the day &#8211; and each system performs very important and different functions. \u00a0Kahneman&#8217;s main thesis is that the intuitive (System 1) often arrives at a conclusion or judgement without the detailed logical evidence for that decision being through by System 2. \u00a0There are many examples he gives where this is so &#8211; and here is one of them from page 43 of the book:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">&#8220;A disturbing demonstration of depletion effects in judgement was recently reported in the <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/em>. \u00a0The unwitting participants in the study were eight parole judges in Israel. \u00a0They spend entire days reviewing applications for parole. \u00a0The cases are presented in random order, and the judges spend little time on each one, an average of 6 minutes. (The default decision is denial of parole; only 35% of requests are approved. \u00a0The exact time of each decision is recorded, and the times of the judges&#8217; three food breaks &#8211; morning break, lunch and afternoon break &#8211; during the day are recorded as well.) <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\">The authors of the study plotted the proportion of approved requests against the time \u00a0since the last food break. \u00a0The proportion spikes after each meal, when about 65% of requests are granted. \u00a0During the two hours or so until the next feeding, the approval rate drops steadily, to about zero just before the meal. \u00a0As you might expect, this is an unwelcome result and the authors carefully checked many alternative explanations. \u00a0The best possible account of the data provides bad news: tired and hungry judges tend to fall back on the easier default position of denying requests for parole. \u00a0Both fatigue and hunger probably play a role.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The book is certainly worth a read and I hope that even these small excerpts have make you think &#8211; even if only to understand we all have two systems of thinking that dance to the daily cycles of our more basic animal behaviours &#8211; and that, for all important decisions, gut-feel or intuition is not enough and that it is important to engage System 2. \u00a0An aspect of thinking I sometimes struggle with! \u00a0And it appears I am not alone &#8211; since the book highlights this as one of the main causes of human suffering in the world today.<\/p>\n<p>Graphic from:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/evalottchen\/6352121909\/in\/photostream\/\">http:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/evalottchen\/6352121909\/in\/photostream\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I was browsing the bookshelves in a provincial airport lounge last month. \u00a0I really like browsing business books in these sorts of places (as opposed to ordering books from Amazon). \u00a0You find things you would not normally find and you can pick them up and read the gist of what the book is about in &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=870\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Thinking, Fast and Slow&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[78,42,80,37,66,79,84,81,90,25,49,60,1,57],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6DQGK-e2","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":877,"url":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=877","url_meta":{"origin":870,"position":0},"title":"Everything will be All Right in the End&#8230;..","author":"Lorne Mitchell","date":"01\/03\/2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Susie, my wife, booked us to go and see a film on Sunday evening - \"The best exotic Marigold Hotel\". \u00a0 A very funny film and well worth watching! \u00a0You can't leave the film and not remember the line that one of the leading characters, Sonny, keeps saying throughout the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Coincidence&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Coincidence","link":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?cat=76"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/optimism.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":930,"url":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=930","url_meta":{"origin":870,"position":1},"title":"The Universal Relaton Field","author":"Lorne Mitchell","date":"19\/04\/2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Whilst away at Easter I started to read Joe Griffin and Ivan Tyrrell's book \"Godhead: The Brain's Big Bang\" which was published last year.\u00a0 It is the latest accumulation of Griffin and Tyrell's ideas on the Human Givens, and the importance of the REM state in sleep and the Universal\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Big Ideas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Big Ideas","link":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?cat=42"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/04\/iStock_000011708354Medium.gif?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":786,"url":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=786","url_meta":{"origin":870,"position":2},"title":"Step Into the River!","author":"Lorne Mitchell","date":"15\/12\/2011","format":false,"excerpt":"One of the great treats of Thursday (in addition, of course, to Thursday Thoughts) is Melvyn Bragg's \"In Our Time\" broadcast twice each Thursday on Radio 4. Last week's programme (HERE) was about Heraclytus - one of the greatest pre-Socratic philosophers which is well worth listening to if you missed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Big Ideas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Big Ideas","link":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?cat=42"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RiverWampoolSimonLedinghamSep2004.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1001,"url":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=1001","url_meta":{"origin":870,"position":3},"title":"Inventories, Unread Books and Generation Why","author":"Lorne Mitchell","date":"14\/06\/2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week there were no Thursday Thoughts.\u00a0 I was in Edinburgh and thinking far too much to write about it.\u00a0 Today I had to go up to London and got writer's block until a chance Skype conversation with Malcolm about random stuff.\u00a0 It got my right brain going and I\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Attention&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Attention","link":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?cat=78"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/b01jrldv1.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":436,"url":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=436","url_meta":{"origin":870,"position":4},"title":"Writer&#8217;s Block, Blooks and Going with the Flow","author":"Lorne Mitchell","date":"19\/02\/2011","format":false,"excerpt":"We have all had it. That frustrating blankness that hits you when you want to write something. Those who know me, know that I have been trying to write a book on bees since 1986. I am not sure if this is worthy of an entry in the Guinness Book\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Big Ideas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Big Ideas","link":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?cat=42"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1270,"url":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?p=1270","url_meta":{"origin":870,"position":5},"title":"Holiness or Wholeness?","author":"Lorne Mitchell","date":"06\/06\/2013","format":false,"excerpt":"I got into a discussion with a friend yesterday about religion. \u00a0You know the sort. \u00a0It became a discussion about basic beliefs and ideas about what had happened in the past with facts that neither of us could prove. \u00a0I capitulated, not wanting to tread on ground that was sacred\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Architecture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Architecture","link":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/?cat=35"},"img":{"alt_text":"holiness-title-slide","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.lornemitchell.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/holiness-title-slide-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/870"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=870"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/870\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":872,"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/870\/revisions\/872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=870"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=870"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.lornemitchell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=870"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}